Sunday, October 21, 2012

Week 7 Sweetness

Some weekends, you are The King and some weekends, you just get trumped. It is good to be The King at times. Hail to The King, baby! Of course, we needed a break in the Buffalo game to get the W and needed San Diego to absolutely implode to get a Broncos win, but we have all been on the other side of those games before. This is why you have to be patient and exercise discipline in the betting game. When the breaks aren't going your way on a weekend, don't double down. You are never "due". You just need to eat a losing week and look forward to the next week and make sure that you are thinking about that week with the previous week out of your mind. Too many gamblers get in over their head by placing "Eraser" bets; ie, chasing a loss to try to get back to even. Never bet more on a game because you have been losing and don't bet on games late in the weekend that you didn't plan on betting to begin with. It is no shame to have a losing week. EVERY gambler has them. The shame is selling your HD TV to pay The Man. Now, the other problem is the week after a big winning week. It is easy to start betting more on the games since you are playing with House money. That is a fast way to give it back. Set a betting amount and stick with it. Now, here are my follow up plays:

Buffalo vs. Tennessee
- both of these teams have zero defense, which is good for the Over since both offenses are somewhat healthy. I expect big games out of all RBs, but that really won't slow the game down since they'll be ripping off huge gain after huge gain. Pound the Over as the total easily goes into the 50s or higher.
Indianapolis vs. Cleveland - this is another game that I look for where both teams have bad defenses and enough talent on offense to exploit the defenseless opponent. Unlike the Buffalo game, I expect this one to be an aerial show since both teams have banged up running games and talented young QBs. This is another game that will easily exceed the total and win us some cash. Why else would we be interested in watching this game?!

Chicago vs. Detroit
- the Bears may not have wanted the Bye week to hit when it did since they were clicking on all cylinders. However, a little rest for some of their older players is never a bad thing nor is additional rest for Forte's ankle. Detroit may have won last week, but it was more about Philly gifting the win to them. Unless Bad Cutler shows up, that won't happen Monday night. I expect the Bears to be even hungrier after hibernating for a week and a half. Buck up and Bear Down! The Bears will roll on the big MNF stage.

6-Point Teaser bet of the week:Indy/Cleveland O39.5
Buffalo/Tennessee O40.5
Minnesota -0.5
Chicago -0.5

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