Week 12 was a mixed bag. We kicked some booty on Sides but lost on Totals. The weekend would have been top notch if St. Louis would have played smarter inside the 5 at the end of the game in San Diego and/or Kansas City just would have beaten Oakland to notch our Teaser. When the Thursday game goes down in a Teaser, it is always wise to replay with the remaining games since we rarely ever have more than one game go bad. For our Daily Fantasy game ranking, most of our Sleepers came in nicely. Since Bill already covered Thursday's games, I am only going to list players for Sunday's Daily game and lines.
Top rankings for Best Team contests (in order)
QB: Brady, Rodgers, Manning, Roethlisberger, Luck, Brees
RB: Bell, Lacy, Arrington, Forsett, Charles, Ingram, Morris
WR: Hilton, Brown, D. Thomas, Green, Evans, Beckham Jr, Sanders, Nelson, Benjamin
TE: Gronk, Graham, Thomas, Kelce, Olsen, Donnell, Walker
D: Arizona, Minnesota, St. Louis, Buffalo, Cleveland
Sleepers for Best Team contests
QB: McCoy, Bridgewater
RB: Mason, Jackson (JAX), Herron
WR: Landry, Brown (AZ)
TE: Rivera, Rudolph
Indianapolis vs. Washington O51 - we go back to the well with the Colts again. We expect the Colts offense to regain their compass to the end zone. As for Washington, no one expected to read this at the start of the year, but we expect Colt McCoy to make their offense relevant again. After watching DJax and Pierre Garcon waste away with RGIII under center, this week will be different, much to Garcon's glee since he is coming home. Play the Over 26 in the first half for 6 units and the Over 51 in the game for 6 units.
Baltimore -6 vs. San Diego - the Chargers escaped again last week in a game they should have lost. They play poorly in EST, especially against better teams. With RB Justin Forsett giving the Ravens a well-rounded offense, we expect an easy win for them to stay in the hunt for the division title with the rest of the division. Play the Ravens in the first half for 8 units at -3 as well as 8 units in the game at -6.
Pittsburgh -5 vs. New Orleans - the Steelers are coming off the Bye week, which was helpful in getting their banged up defense a bit healthier and back on the field. The Saints are coming off an unheard of 3-game losing streak...at home. They rarely play well on the road, especially outdoors, and are playing in one of the NFL's most hostile environments. It looks like bad news again for the Saints, but they will STILL have a good chance at winning the division when the other 3 NFC South teams lose. Play the Steelers for 15 units in the first half at -2.5 as well as the game at -5. Also, play 7 units on the Over Steelers Team Total of 29.
Minnesota -2.5 vs. Carolina - As mentioned above, it could be another week of NFC South teams losing. Carolina is missing a running game, their defense is playing poorly and Cam is a sham in the cold north. The Vikings defense is definitely their strong suit and defensed Aaron Rodgers nicely last week. Play the Vikings for 7 units in the first half at -1.5 as well as 7 units in the game at -2.5.
Arizona -2 at Atlanta and U45 - The Falcons at home used to be money, but they have no running game, no defense and are playing one of the NFL's stingiest defenses. While the Cardinals don't score a lot, they won't need to on Sunday. J.J. Arrington may win this game all by himself. Play the Cards for 10 units in the first half and game, 7 units on the U22.5 in the first half and U45 in the game and a 2-unit parlay on the Cards and under in the first half and 2 units on the Cards and Under in the game.
Kansas City vs. Denver U49 - It is always a bit risky to bet a game Under that Denver plays in but playing at Arrowhead is one of those times. You have to feel that KC won't run up half the total on their own. They will use ball-control to keep Peyton off the field and their D is solid enough to prevent a blowout. Play the U49 in the game for 6 units.
6-point Teaser Of The Week (7-to-1 odds) for 1 units
- Cleveland +9.5
- Baltimore Pick
- Arizona +4
- Arizona/ATL U51
- Patriots +9
- Steelers +1
- Sides 27-27 (-32.3 units)
- Overs 17-13 (+22.7 units)
- Parlay 1-7 (-8.8 units)
- Teaser 1-10 (-4.0 units)
- Moneyline 4-6 (+2.6 units)