We finally had a nice weekend last week, even with the Patriots blowing our Teaser and the Seahawks laying an egg. Hopefully you toughed it out and were rewarded. This week has some very difficult lines but there are a few games that we really like so let's let it roll!
Detroit (-3) vs Atlanta U46.5 in London - The Lions will be without Reggie Bush again and possibly Megatron, but Atlanta is far more beat up and downtrodden. The Lions are riding high after a stunning late victory over the Saints and have next week off so let's hope that they aren't on cruise already. With the game being outdoors, the Lions defense should be able to easily slow Atlanta's passing game down and they have no running game. Detroit will win this in low-scoring fashion with a 7-10 point cover. Play the Lions and give the field goal (buy the hook for the extra juice) for 7 units, the Under 23.5 in the first half for 6 units, the Under 46.5 in the game for 6 units and play a 2-unit parlay on -3 and under 46.5 for the game.
Seattle (-5.5) at Carolina - Last week's performance at St. Louis will befuddling but it was the kind of performance that will help this team right the ship. They played well last season going to the opposite coast and match up with a team in Carolina that has the most injuries and least weapons in the NFL. Play Seattle for 8 units in the first half at -3 and for 8 units in the game at -5.5.
Houston (-3) at Tennessee - The Texans are still upset at their play in the last 3 minutes of the first half of MNF against the Steelers and will take it out on the Titans. Speaking of a team with few weapons! On top of that, they are starting their third string QB, Zach Mettenberger. He is NOT going to want to see as much of JJ Watt as he undoubtedly will. Play Houston in the first half at 1.5 for 10 units and in the game for 10 units at -3.
Baltimore (-2) at Cincinnati - This line somehow started with Cincy favored by 3! I guess the oddsmakers were focusing too much on the Bengals home record and not their recent play. On top of that, the Ravens are playing about as well as any team in the NFL and are looking for a big divisional road win. They will get it so play the Ravens -1 in the first half for 7 units and at -2 in the game for 7 units.
Oakland (+7) at Cleveland - Oakland IS terrible, but the Browns are not good enough to be giving a TD to any team in this league. The Raiders have actually looked competitive against San Diego and Arizona the past two weeks and Derek Carr has enough weapons to keep this game close. Hell, I wouldn't be surprised if they win outright. We will just take the points though. Play Oakland in the first half at +3.5 for 6 units and play them in the game at +7 for 6 units.
Indianapolis (-3) at Pittsburgh - Speaking of playing well, the Colts are on fire! Their defense has improved each week and gets to face an over-confident Steelers team that has played very poorly this season outside of a 3 minute stretch. The Steelers are lost on offense and don't have the defense to hold the Colts down. Indy runs away with this game. Play Indy in the first half at -2 for 10 units and play them in the game at -3 (buying the hook if you need to) for 10 units.
7-point Teaser Of The Week (5-to-1 odds) for 1 units
- New England +1
- Chiefs Pick
- Houston +4
- Colts +3.5
- Oakland +14
- Dallas -2.5
- Sides 10-8 (+13.7 units)
- Overs 3-8 (-33.9 units)
- Parlay 0-4 (-8.0 units)
- Teaser 1-5 (-1.0 units)
- Moneyline 3-3 (+7.5 units)