Damn, we were one KC stop away from a huge sweep last week. Congrats to all that jumped aboard and Happy Thanksgiving! This week has a few nice games as well.
Green Bay (+6) at Detroit and Over 49 – Detroit is 0-9 ATS on its last 9 Thanksgivings. The Packers look a lot better with Matt Flynn under center and Detroit is playing poorly. That screams to take the points. Since neither of these defenses can stop anybody, each team could easily get into the 30s. Play The Pack with the 6 points for 5 units and play the Over 49 for 8 units.
Oakland (+10) at Dallas – Much like my Houston call last week, Dallas is not good enough to give double digit points to anyone. With Matt McGloin leading Oakland now and playing smart football, Oakland will give Dallas all it wants. Take Oakland in the first half at +6 for 6 units and revel in the 10 points for 8 units in the game.
Arizona (+3) at Philadelphia – Arizona is clicking on both sides of the ball right now. I know Philly is coming off of a Bye and have been playing much better with Nick Foles at the helm, but they have not played anyone with the kind of defense that the Cards are playing. Take the Cards and the points for 7 units.
Buffalo (-3) vs. Atlanta – Atlanta had a hard time covering outdoor games in November and December when they were good. Their season is over and the Bills could actually get into the playoffs as the last wildcard. They are covering machines at home and this week will be no different. Play Buffalo in the first half for 7 units at -2 and for 7 units in the game at -3.
6-point Teaser of the week (6 to 1 odds for 1 unit):
Sides: 20-23 (-45.9 units)
Totals: 131-6 (+38.5 units)
Teasers: 4-7 (+13 units)
Moneyline: 2-1 (+4.7 units)
Parlays: 2-6 (-1.6 units)