Saturday, February 27, 2016

Super Bowl Hangover

I hope y’all are filling your down time productively. This is definitely the slow time for the NFL. It does afford time to try to figure out how Commissioner Roger Goodell has made around $35 million dollars in each of the past 4 seasons. Those numbers help further put into perspective exactly how big of a business the NFL is nowadays.

The only other news right now is about retirements and contract discussions and far too many Mock Drafts. Good Lord, there are 10 more weeks of interviews with Mel Kiper and Todd McShay ahead to rehash the same discussions about the upcoming, yet far away, draft. Yes, the NFL Draft is a huge event but we do not need to be bombarded with talks about it from the days following the Super Bowl to the event itself.

Speaking of the Super Bowl, it is comical to hear Denver’s defense talk about their place in history among the best defenses of all time. Ha! Far from it. They were very good against Carolina and for the majority of the year but I don’t even think that they were much better than Kansas City’s defense this year let alone anywhere close to the 2000 Baltimore Ravens, the 1975 Pittsburgh Steelers or the 1985 Chicago Bears. I know the current players are a bit too young to have seen these teams in the 70s and 80s play but the Chicago Bears? Ha, not even close.

In 1985, the Bears gave up more than 19 points three times that season and only once after Week 3 and that was to Dan Marino and the high-powered Miami Dolphins. The Broncos gave up more than 19 points seven times this season, including 23 to a Cleveland Browns team powered by the likes of Josh McCown, Isaiah Crowell and Travis Benjamin. The 1985 Bears may have held the Browns scoreless with negative yardage if they played in 2015. The Broncos cite holding an Antonio Brown-less Pittsburgh Steelers and the one-dimensional Patriots and Panthers to less than 19 points each. Well, aside from the possibility of New England beating them if Stephen Gostkowski aside doesn’t miss an extra point, let’s just focus on the Bears giving up a TOTAL of 10 points in three playoff games. TEN points….and the one touchdown that they gave up was when they were ahead 44-3 in the Super Bowl. That is domination like this generation will likely never see again. The icing on that cake is that they held the Patriots to 7 yards rushing and 177 yards passing. 184 total yards.  

Congrats to the defense of the Denver Broncos for a nice win, but please find a bit of sanity and not make a laughingstock out of yourselves.

While I found their boasting funny, it doesn’t top how hysterical Eli Manning’s face was when caught on film not enjoying a Denver TD. He can make all the excuses that he wants but you know it was him being upset that he just lost his career-defining achievement of having more Super Bowl wins than Peyton. When it comes to that look, it was shared by all Panthers and Panther-backers when Cam made “a business decision” to not attempt a fumble recovery when they could least afford a turnover. And we thought he put all he had into the game. 

Follow Bill Parsons on F6S

Sunday, January 31, 2016

Free Super Bowl Squares Pick

MFS is running Squares Pools that you can join and pick a square for free. When numbers are assigned, you will receive a different number for each quarter for some variety. The winner of each quarter will receive a free Commissioner League for the 2016 fantasy football season. You can join the league and pick your square by clicking here or by clicking on the Join a Private Fantasy Football League/Pool button and entering the following information. Once this pool has filled up, we will update the log in information and the join links with the ID for the new pool. Sign up and good luck!

League ID = 792131192
Password = newpool

  Pool Name:  Free Public Super Bowl     
  Pool Login:  792131192
  Pool Password:  newpool
  Registration Close Date:  02/07/2016 at 6:30pm EST  
  Max Teams:  100  
  Max Picks Per Team:  1 square per MFS User ID
  Assign Numbers and NFL Teams:  At the first received play from
  Reset Numbers at End of Quarters:  Yes  

  Fee Per Square:  $0.00  
  1st Quarter Payout to winner:  Free 2016 Commissioner League
  2nd Quarter Payout to winner:  Free 2016 Commissioner League
  3rd Quarter Payout to winner:  Free 2016 Commissioner League
  4th Quarter Payout to winner:  Free 2016 Commissioner League

Pro Bowl Picks

Come on, can't you wait a week?! No way am I betting on the Pro Bowl! Hell, I would rather watch the horrible Zoolander movies before watching the trainwreck that is the Pro Bowl. There is zero effort put forth on defense. It makes the NBA All-Star game look like hand-to-hand combat. The players make so much money now that a free Hawaiian vacation and game check aren't worth it. So many players have dropped out that earned the berth that I think Ray Rice is suiting up as a fill-in. Seriously, does anyone think that Eli, Jameis, T.Y., and Latavius had All-Pro seasons? Well, I guess Latavius was in a shrinking club of 1000-yard rushers so that has to count for something. 

One more week of press conferences and insurance commercials. Two weeks is a lot of air to fill. Worst press chat yet is about Eli giving Peyton pointers on beating Brady and the Patriots. I think it really went like this: "Let the defense win the game for you and you will get far more credit than you deserve. Trust me, it worked twice for me!".

Anyway, check back next week for recommended Super Bowl bets since many have not been released. I am heavily investing in Carolina. I grabbed the line as soon as it came out for 20 units and bought it to 3 when it opened at 4, which cost me an extra 20% juice. It is currently anywhere between 5 and 6 right now depending on where you look, which I would still take if I were you. If you are comfortable buying it to 4, I recommend doing so. I do expect a Carolina win by 8-11 and wouldn't be shocked if it was an even bigger win for Carolina.

Season Record:
Straight-up: 53-61-2  -94.0 units
Totals:  42-42  -37 units
Moneyline:  10-5  +28.8 units
Teasers:  12-15  +26.5 units
Parlays:  2-4  +2.4 units

Thursday, January 21, 2016

2015 Fantasy Football Awards

This is our look at the 2015 fantasy football awards through our eyes. Of course, league settings vary and could skew one position moreseo over others so we will assume a standard, non-PPR league scoring system. We will also assume a championship in Week 16.

Most Valuable Player: Cam Newton. The expectation for 2015 was for him to stay in the pocket more and run less. Well, after losing Kelvin Benjamin before the season started, Cam was left with a group of WR3s or worse and a top tight end. Great players make those around him better and Cam responded with over 3800 yards passing and 35 TDs with an additional 636 yards rushing and 10 TDs to best the entire NFL. A truly amazing feat for a guy that barely cracked the Top 10 QBs drafted.

Least Valuable Player: Pick any of the RBs drafted in the first 3 rounds and you most likely have a hit. Granted, many of those players; Foster, Bell, Lynch,…suffered injuries, but you need to expect that with RBs and grab their backups. Only 7 RBs broke 1000 yards rushing this year and, to put it in perspective, Darren McFadden was one of them. NONE of the 13 RBs who broke 1000 yards in 2014 repeated. That is an amazing stat that will finalize the current shift in drafting strategy from 2 RBs early to 2 WRs early.
Awards by Position


Best draft pick: well, if our fantasy MVP is Cam, you know that he tops our position list. He had double digit points in every single game, including topping 20 in over half of his games.

Worst draft pick: Andrew Luck. The Colts had a solid receiving core at the end of 2014 and then foolishly added to it instead of bettering their defense so it seemed like Luck was destined to be a point machine just to keep them in games. Granted, an injury shortened his season, but he was almost unstartable before that. He played 7 games and broke 300 yards passing in only two of them. He threw an INT in 6 of those games and multiple in 5 of those games. He was a first or second round draft pick in every league and killed many seasons. Peyton Manning was a very, very, very close second.

Best Free Agent acquisition: Blake Bortles. Now, he was drafted in deeper leagues, but started the season on the waiver wire in the majority of leagues. He had some maddening games and often started slowly, but his numbers were solid at the end of the day. He put up over 20 fantasy points in 9 games and averaged 26ppg during the fantasy playoffs.

Biggest Playoffs Contributor: Kirk Cousins. Cousins only had a few shining moments in the first 12 weeks, but exploded when it counted thanks to finally having a healthy DeSean Jackson and Jordan Reed to throw to. He averaged 30ppg in week 14-16 and carried many teams to a championship.

Biggest Playoffs Killer: Aaron Rodgers. Rodgers’ final numbers on the year look great but his biggest weeks were in the first half of the season. He really struggled in the second half, especially in weeks 14-16, where he averaged 12ppg, including an 11 point dud in week 15 and a 7 point travesty in week 16.

Running Back:

Best draft pick: Devonta Freeman. The Atlanta running back situation was difficult to know during drafts since the Falcons didn’t know themselves. Smart owners drafted both Tevin Coleman and Freeman. Those who got Freeman rode him to the playoffs as he was a flat out stud for the majority of the season and performed well in weeks 15-16.

Worst draft pick: there are many to choose from but Melvin Gordon has to top the list cuz he was actually healthy all year and produced zip, nada, bunko. He was drafted anywhere from the 3rd round to the 6th round and was a bust no matter where he was drafted. He had ZERO double digit games. ZERO! And that includes receiving yards too! He will go into 2016 searching for his first professional score. Eddie Lacy was a very close second but Gordon truly had no rival at how poorly he performed in an ideal situation for him.

Best Free Agent acquisition: DeAngelo Williams. Smart Le’Veon Bell owners drafted Williams as well since Bell had a 2-game suspension to wait out. However, once Bell came back and began tearing up the league, foolish owners dropped him since he essentially had 5 weeks of goose eggs. When Bell went down, Williams ripped off double digits in almost every week from 8-16. Only week 10 at Cleveland was a surprising light effort. In weeks 14-6, he averaged over 19ppg.

Biggest Playoffs Contributor: David Johnson. Johnson showed his versatility at the beginning of the season by scoring on kick returns and passes but was an afterthought for the middle of the season when he rarely got a chance to contribute on offense. When Chris Johnson went down, David stepped in and got better each week. In weeks 14-16, he put up 12, 41 and 19 points. Who would have thought a team of Kirk Cousins and David Johnson would roll through the playoffs?

Biggest Playoffs Killer: C.J. Anderson, DeMarco Murray. Both were full-season Busts that really stood out in the playoff weeks, though each had decent Week 16 efforts for their owners that were undoubtedly out of the running. C.J. put up a 0, 2, 12 playoff line and DeMarco put up a 4, 0, 11 playoff line.

Wide Receiver:

Best draft pick: For me, it is Brandon Marshall. Antonio Brown’s overall numbers were better, but he had some weak performance thanks to Big Ben being out. Marshall was the most consistent WR by far. He didn’t even crack the Top 20 WRs drafted and had double digit points in all but 3 games this year thanks to breaking 100 yards or getting a TD. Getting Ryan Fitzpatrick under center was a Godsend for Marshall’s performance.

Worst draft pick: Dez Bryant. You can cite his injury or Tony Romo’s injury all you want. No matter how you look at it, he was a waste of a first round draft pick. For players active all year, you can look at T.Y. Hilton, Randall Cobb and Jordan Matthews as your runner-ups.

Best Free Agent acquisition: Doug Baldwin. Seattle has never been a team that anyone looked to for WRs except for Bye week fill-ins. That all changed when Jimmy Graham and Marshall Lynch got hurt and Seattle took to the air. His performances in weeks 10-16 were some of the best that I have ever seen.

Biggest Playoffs Contributor: Doug Baldwin. He averaged 20ppg in weeks 14-16.

Biggest Playoffs Killer: Randall Cobb. He was a season-long bust but really stood out in the playoff weeks with a robust 5.5ppg average. It was obvious that he is a much better second fiddle than lead dog.

Tight End:

Best draft pick: Gronk. Gronk justified his lofty ADP by easily outscoring his peers again with a 72/1176/11 season. The first half of his season was fantastic compared to the second half, but he helped position many teams for a playoff run.

Worst draft pick: Martellus Bennett. With Alshon Jeffery injured often and Brandon Marshall gone, Bennett had a stellar opportunity to shine in a contract year, but only had 3 double digit games and the remainder of the games were less than 6. He was greatly outplayed in the second half of the season by backup TE Zach Miller.

Best Free Agent acquisition: Gary Barnridge. The book on him coming into the season was that he was a blocking tight end. Through multiple poor starting QBs, Barnridge was able to put up 8 double digit scoring weeks for a 71/977/9 season tally in another weak year for tight end consistency.

Biggest Playoffs Contributor: Jordan Reed. 21 ppg in weeks 14-16. This guy could rival Gronk for draft position if he could only stay healthy. The QB/TE Redskins pairing was hard to beat with money on the line this playoff season.

Biggest Playoffs Killer: Tyler Eifert. Eifert was a true feast-or-famine producer this season but he tallied a weak 4 points in week 14 and then sat out weeks 15-16 with a neck injury.


Best draft pick: Kansas City. The Chiefs were brutal as a whole early in the season, but, if you throw out their games at Green Bay and at Cincinnati, they were the best scoring fantasy defense this year in many formats. They scored 7 DTD, had at least one turnover in all but those 2 games, and really shined in the playoff stretch by dominating San Diego, Baltimore and Cleveland.

Worst draft pick: Buffalo. This may rank as the worst value pick of the whole draft. The Bills were one of the best defenses in 2014 and they were expected to be even better in 2015 with Rex Ryan as their coach. HA! They scored 4 or less points in HALF of their games with 3 being negative in leagues that penalize for points/yards given up. They were flat out horrible and were one of the first 3 defenses off the board in every league.

Best Free Agent acquisition: Houston. Houston was drafted but was discarded in many leagues after being horrific in the first 7 games of the season, Jacksonville game excluded. Starting in week 8, they posted double digits in 6 of their final 9 games and averaged almost 13ppg in weeks 14-16.

Biggest Playoffs Contributor: Arizona. The Cardinals were a defense to start every week all season but really shined in the playoffs when they steamrolled Minnesota, Philadelphia and Green Bay. Scoring systems vary, but they only gave up 15ppg, with 3 INTs, 8 fumble recoveries and 14 sacks. Their week 16 beatdown of the Packers clinched many championships.

Biggest Playoffs Killer: Denver. Denver may have been the top scoring defense in many formats, but many of those points were tallied in the first 6 games of the year. Scoring-wise, they laid an egg in weeks 14-16 by only registering 2 INTs, 1 fumble recovery and 8 sacks.


Best draft pick: Stephen Goskowski. Not even close. In a year where missed extra points rose dramatically due to the distance change, Goskowski was perfect. On field goals, he was almost perfect . He only missed 3 and they were from 46, 48 and 54 yards out. He had field goals in every game but 3 and also gets our best playoff performance by logging a total of 8 FGs in weeks 14-16.

Worst draft pick: Adam Vinatieri. He missed 3 extra points and only had multiple field goals in 7 games. Hell, he took a goose egg in his first two games and even had negative points if you get penalized for missing short field goals. Further highlighting his poor season, he had 5 games where he had 3 or less points.

Best Free Agent acquisition: Chris Boswell. After Shaun Suisham was lost to injury and Josh Scobee was booed out of town after 4 weeks, Boswell stepped in and secured the job going forward. He only missed 2 field goal at home, which is not an easy place to kick, and only missed one extra point.

Thursday, January 14, 2016

Divisional Playoff Picks

To the favorites go the spoils, if we are looking at a pure straight-up winner point of view. The dogs, which would have been all home teams, covered half of their games and should have won those two games outright. Minnesota lost a heart-breaker and Cincinnati obviously hates Marvin Lewis since they found multiple ways to gift Pittsburgh a win last week. The Chiefs and Packers looked strong in their wins but they hit the road this week in challenging matchups. At least, our Totals did come in last week as expected. Three of the four matchups this week are rematches with Carolina and Pittsburgh pulling off late comebacks in round 1 and Arizona stomped Green Bay like they were Stan Kroenke looking at inferior revenue in a city called St. Louis. Let's take a look at how I expect these games to play out this weekend.

New England vs. Kansas City Under 42 - the Pats 2015 season ended so badly that the networks deemed them a non-Primetime matchup. True, there is nothing exciting about watching the Chiefs play unless you are a fan of a methodical offense and superb defense. The Patriots do get Julian Edelman back from injury as well as Danny Amendola, as long as he can get his car out of his driveway. However, the Pats have no running game, though I am happy to see Steven Jackson wearing a uniform again, and it is bad to face this Chiefs' defense as a one-dimensional squad. KC will have its hands full running the ball on New England and will be limited in the passing game if Jeremy Maclin can't suit up. When you add it all up, points will be at a premium. I will be rooting for the Chiefs but am having a hard time taking them with the points right now but can Tease them. Play the Under 21 in the first half for 5 units and the Under 42 in the game for 6 units.

Arizona -7 vs. Green Bay Over 49 - the Packers are being touted as being "back" after last week's win over Washington. So, three good quarters of football erases two months of ineptitude? Yes, Seattle routed Minnesota and then Minny should have beat them last week but those conditions were unique. Arizona gets Green Bay back at home in a climate-controlled stadium. I do expect Green Bay to play better with The Honey Badger out but the Packers' defense and offensive line still has too many holes in them to win this game. It won't be the shellacking that we saw in December, but Green Bay's season ends here. I am playing Arizona for 5 units in the first half at -3.5, for 7 units in the game at -7 and for 7 units on the Over 49 in the game (buy the half if you need to). I will also be playing a 6-point Teaser on Arizona at -1 and the Over 43 (or 43.5) for 5 units (-110 vig).

Seattle +3 at Carolina Over 44 - yes, Carolina won in Seattle earlier this year and Seattle was lucky to escape Minnesota last week, but those games are history. Seattle was dominating the earlier matchup until the 4th quarter and were without LB Bobby Wagner so I am expecting a better effort this game on defense. In better weather, I expect the Seattle offense to get back on track. Carolina has played well all season without dynamic weapons on offense and, while they will score 17-21 on Sunday, it will catch up with them as Seattle will be putting up low 30s. I am going light on the Total so just play the Over 44 in the game for 4 units, but we are playing Seattle for 7 units in the first half at +1.5, for 7 units in the game at +3, for 5 units on the Moneyline at +125 and I am adding a 7-point Teaser on Seattle +10 and the Over 37 for 8 units (-130 vig). Also, play Seattle Team Total Over 21 for 10 units. I have no doubt that Seattle will score on Carolina.

Denver -6.5 vs Pittsburgh Over 24 Team Total - this is a difficult game to call right now due to the uncertainty of Big Ben and Antonio Brown. It sounds like Ben will be limited in his ability to throw downfield. That greatly helps the Denver defense, which is already upset with itself after holding Pittsburgh to very little output in the first half of their earlier matchup, only to get run over in the second half. I expect to see a much better effort from them this game. On offense, Peyton is back but that is good and bad. He is still the aged, limited QB that we saw at the beginning of the season, but the Steelers don't have the strongest pass defense so I think he will be able to do enough to get a score or two through the air and to help open up the running game, much like the second half versus San Diego. I am expecting a 27-17 final here so I am making small 5-unit plays on Denver -6.5 and Denver Team Total over 24.

6 point Teaser Of The Week (4.5-1 odds) for 3 Units
Chiefs  +11
​Arizona -1
AZ/GB  O43.5
Car/SEA  O38
Denver  -0.5
Season Record:
Straight-up: 52-56-2  -79.8 units
Totals:  37-39  -48.2 units
Moneyline:  10-4  +33.8 units
Teasers:  6-15  -13.0 units
Parlays:  2-4  +2.4 units

Are You Not Entertained?

Aside from the first game of the playoffs, Kansas City at Houston, the impartial fan had to enjoy the Wildcard Playoffs, especially if they like Gladiator movies. You had to feel sorry for the hometown fans. They either had to watch their team get destroyed or had to suffer through adverse weather conditions to see their team snatch defeat out of the jaws of victory. Seattle and Minny was a war of attrition that came down to a handful of plays since the Vikings had to settle for field goals when moving the ball. Unfortunately for Vikings fans, they have grown to know football disappointment their whole lives so they have been conditioned, much like being used to drinking beer slushies.

Fans in Cincinnati were treated to a whole ‘nuther level of disappointment. They watched their Bengals and the Steelers slug it out all game, literally, and then come back late after going scoreless for most of the game and take a lead that was almost unrelinquishable. Almost. Maybe if they hadn’t lost in the previous six opening rounds they would know how to handle success, but they topped a game-changing fumble by brawling their way into retreating to their own Red Zone to gift an easy game-winning field goal to the Steelers. Say what you will about Joey Porter being on the field for Pittsburgh, the Bengals’ coaching staff should have had their players off the field until the penalty on Vontaze Burfict was assessed. Leaving those idiots on the field with free time was asking for trouble. It is a joke that Adam Jones would even insinuate that Antonio Brown was faking an injury. Even if he was not concussed, the whiplash effect alone from Burfict’s cowardly hit would keep most players on the field for five minutes while they confirmed that they could still move all of their appendages. Good to see that the fans weren’t affected at all by the poor sportsmanship, by both sides, on the field. Only six fans were arrested for fighting or providing golden showers to other attendees. No clue how many additional incidents there were that did not result in an arrest.

Of all the fights in the stands, I am guessing that none of the combatants looked worse that Seattle’s punter, Jon Ryan, the next day. His injuries were self-inflicted and, quite possibly, a result of playing too many video games, thus having the vision in his head of the ability to leap seven feet in the air. Based on the way he came down, I am wondering if his neck was as sore as Brown’s the next day.

Speaking of fans, I would bid good riddance to that jackass, Stan Kroenke, and the Rams. You can’t fault the players, even though they have been mediocre, or worse, since 2003, but the primary disrespect came from Kroenke who has no concept at how much it actually costs to attend an NFL as far as a percentage of a person’s disposable income. NFL owners, as a whole, are clueless about how the real fan lives and survives. I generally grouse about how much the NFL player gets paid, but, the ticket prices aren’t ever going to be reduced to pay them less. The owners only care about how much they are going to make and how much they can get the host city and fans to contribute to their costs instead of digging a bit deeper into their pot of gold. It has never been more evident than the exchange with Miami Dolphins owner, Stephen Ross, with a reporter. After he stated that everyone won in the decision to move the Rams to LA, he was asked about the fans in St. Louis. After realizing that “everyone” includes the general public outside of the Owner’s circle, he corrected himself and said that the St. Louis fans lost, but that there always has to be a loser to make someone a winner. In his world, the rest of us are losers.

Johnny Manziel is rumored to be dropped by Nike. Good thing that these shoe companies make 95% margins off overseas child labor since they can afford to waste it on ridiculous contracts to any professional player that makes a name for himself. Here's hoping he gets a chance to waste some of Jerry Jones' money!

Thursday, January 7, 2016

NFL Wildcard Playoff Picks

It was wise to lay low on Week 17 as it was as unpredictable as I predicted. It figures that the vaunted Miami defense would finally rise to their pre-season projections on the final Sunday of the year and shut down the Patriots to kill our Teaser. The other surprise that affected us was that the Falcons were shut out in the second half at home against the Saints after playing the first half as expected. I am happy not to have opportunities to bet on, or against, the Dolphins, Falcons and Saints again this year.
Heading into the Wildcard games this weekend, there are a few key trends to look at from the past 36 years. Dogs have bite in this round, baby. Dogs of a field goal or less are 30-19-6 ATS and Home dogs are 13-5-2 ATS. That is damn impressive. 


Houston +3.5 vs. Kansas City - the Chiefs are rolling, though they are not the most impressive show in town and they run up against a real defense for a change. The only "good" defense that the Chiefs have played against since Thanksgiving is San Diego, and it is a stretch to label them as such, and the Chiefs only put up 10 points. I can't play a road favorite that has trouble scoring. Also, Jeremy Maclin, Tamba Hali and Justin Houston go into the game with questionable designations, though all should play, but are key members that need to be watched. Houston isn't very exciting, but I like my odds with the Hoyer-to-Hopkins connection and the points over Smith-to-Maclin. Play Houston for 5 units in the first half at +2 and for 7 units in the game at +3.5.

Cincinnati vs. Pittsburgh Under 46 – everyone, including my mother, seems to be on Pittsburgh this week. I am laying off the Side. They may be without DeAngelo Williams and Martavis Bryant has been a no-show the past two games. I think that will help the Bengals’ underrated defense keep the Steelers in check. I just don’t know how Cincy can score much unless they have great success through the air, which I wouldn’t bank on. I truly believe that this will be a tight, low-scoring game which won’t get into the 40s. Play the Under 23 in the first half for 6 units and under 46 in the game for 6 units.


Minnesota vs. Seattle U40 – Much like Pittsburgh, everyone, including my grandmother, is jumping on Seattle this week. I am laying off the Side. They have been crushing opponents through the air but I believe that the weather will mitigate that and not let them exploit the Vikings’ biggest defensive weakness. Marshawn Lynch is back for the Seahawks but I don't see him going back to a full share of Touches immediately. I do see the 3-headed rushing (4 if you include Russell Wilson) attack being the focus of the offense. That, and a few field goals, may get Seattle to 20 but I can’t see many more. I also can’t see Minnesota putting many points on the board either. Seattle took AP out of the game in the last matchup with a big lead and Teddy Bridgewater won’t be able to light them up through the air. AP will get more opportunities this game but it will simply eat more clock. Play the Under 20 in the first half for 7 units and the Under 40 in the game for 7 units. Add a 5-unit play on the Minnesota Team Total under 17.5.

Washington ML vs. Green Bay – this line has bounced back and forth with each team being favored by a point. Right now, Green Bay is back to -1. I have seen zero from Green Bay that makes me think that they can outscore Washington. Washington’s defense is mediocre but even mediocre defenses can slow down a weak offensive attack. The Redskins have the confidence, momentum and home field advantage to win this game and mercifully end the Packers’ disappointment of a season. Play the hot hand and take Washington in the first half for 7 units at +0.5 and for 7 units in the game on the Moneyline, which means that there is no juice in this case.

6.5 point 2-team Teaser Of The Week (-120 odds) for 5 Units
Houston +10
Washington +7.5

13-point 4-team Teaser Of The Week (-120 odds, ties lose) for 5 Units
Kansas City +9.5
Green Bay +12

Minn/Seattle U52.5

Green Bay/Wash O32
Season Record:
Straight-up: 52-53-2  -58.9 units
Totals:  32-39  -79.2 units
Moneyline:  10-3  +40.8 units
Teasers:  5-14  -12.0 units
Parlays:  2-4  +2.4 units