At a high level, Week 3 looked like a bountiful week for us. After the numbers were tabulated, it wasn't all that hot. With Seattle and Atlanta easily covering, it was misleading since neither team covered in the first half. Also, Seattle decided to kick field goals instead of score TDs, leaving us just short of our team total Over. Also, I picked the wrong portion of the Steelers game to put in our Teaser or that would have blown up for us. Argh. Still a winning week, but not a big difference maker that allowed us to make a foolish purchase Sunday night in celebration.
I am not overly enamored with this week's offerings so it is a light card. Good luck!
Atlanta -6.5 vs. Houston - I don't expect a repeat performance from ATL RB Devonta Freeman, especially against the Houston DL, but QB Matt Ryan should have a fun time picking apart the weak Texans' secondary. Houston is simply outmanned when it comes to playmakers and can't keep up the scoring pace when it exceeds 20 points. Take Atlanta to cover the first half for 6 units at -3.5 and to cover the game for 6 units at -6.5. Also, play 5 units on the Falcons' Team Total Over 26 points.
Oakland -2.5 at Chicago Over 44 - the Bears should have WR Alshon Jeffery back this week, but it is probable that QB Jimmy Clausen will still be throwing to him. Now, we are not mistaking the Raiders defense for Seattle's but we are not mistaking the Raiders offense for Seattle's either. This will be a higher scoring game than the game in Seattle, especially if Cutler does play. If Cutler finds his way listed as Doubtful or Out come Friday, this line will move at least a point. The Bears still lose either way...it should be a much bigger margin with Clausen doing the QBing. Play Oakland for 7 units in the first half at -1.5 and for 7 units in the game at -2.5. Also play the Oakland Team Total Over 24 for 8 units.
Arizona -6.5 vs. St. Louis - the Rams defense was a bit better last week but their offense is terrible. Arizona has been beating up, and I mean BEATING UP, the hapless bottom rung of the league and the Rams aren't much of a step ahead of them. On their home turf, I expect the Cardinals to roll again, though they may only score into the mid-to-high 20s, which is plenty against St. Louis right now. Play Arizona in the first half for 7 units at -3.5 and for 7 units in the game at -6.5.
6.5 Teaser of the Week (2.5 to 1) for 4 unitsSan Diego -1
Atlanta Pick em
Season Record:Straight-up: 12-9 +22.5 units
Totals: 6-13 -57.4 units
Moneyline: 3-1 +20.0 units
Teasers: 0-2 -7.0 units
Parlays: 0-1 -2.0 units