As much as I tried to resist, I had to put together my Win projections for each of the NFL teams to see how well I do against the Vegas oddsmakers. Not surprisingly this year, we are thinking along the same lines; the really good teams will be really good and the bad teams will be oh so bad. Parity is out the window this year, my friends.
| East | Bill | Book | | East | Bill | Book |
| New England | 12 | 11.5 | Philly | 11 | 10.5 | |
| NY Jets | 10 | 9.5 | NY Giants | 9 | 9.5 | |
| Miami | 6 | 7.5 | Dallas | 9 | 9 | |
Buffalo | 6 | 5.5 | Wash | 5 | 6.5 | |
| North | | | North | | | |
| Baltimore | 12 | 10.5 |
| GB | 12 | 11.5 |
Pittsburgh | 12 | 10.5 | Chicago | 8 | 8.5 | |
| Cleveland | 5 | 6.5 | Detroit | 7 | 7 | |
Cincy | 4 | 5.5 | Minny | 7 | 6.5 | |
| South | | | South | | | |
| Houston | 10 | 9 | Atlanta | 11 | 10.5 | |
| Indy | 9 | 10.5 | NO | 11 | 10 | |
| Tenn | 6 | 6.5 | TB | 8 | 8 | |
| Jax | 5 | 6.5 | Carolina | 3 | 4.5 | |
| West | | | West | | | |
| San Diego | 12 | 10 | St. Louis | 8 | 7.5 | |
Denver | 7 | 6 | SF | 8 | 7.5 | |
| Oakland | 7 | 6.5 | Arizona | 7 | 6 | |
| KC | 6 | 6 | | Seattle | 5 | 6 |
AFC Division winners: New England, Baltimore, Houston, San Diego
AFC Wildcards: Pittsburgh, New York Jets
AFC Championship game: Baltimore over New England
NFC Division winners: Philly, Green Bay, Atlanta, St. Louis
NFC Wildcards: New Orleans, New York Giants
NFC Championship game: Atlanta over Philadelphia
Super Bowl Champs: Baltimore
For those paying attention from last year, I am picking the Ravens A-GAIN. If they didn't melt down in the playoffs in the second half against Pittsburgh last year, I truly believe that they would have won the whole thing.
A few other notables: Indy will not make the playoffs and the NFC West will be another Dog Show, but at least the winner will emerge with a .500 record this year!
Aside from Baltimore to win it all, the best bets for the regular season are the teams that I have projected at 1.5 games under the Vegas number and Pitt, San Diego and Baltimore over their numbers. I really believe that we will have a bunch of crappy teams this year and some really dominant teams. I wish I would have bet Houston to win the AFC South last week before the latest news on Peyton came out as the bet is off the board right now. With an improved defense, I like them to finally get over the hump this year.
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