2010 Win Projection Results

Last week, I revealed my final rankings. Of course, those were based off of the teams’ performances for the year. At the beginning of the year, we analyze all teams and their schedules to project what we expect to see as the final standings for the year. Of course, injuries, weather and team dissension are factors that we cannot account for. This year is the first in many years that the MFS and oddmaker experts were off on so many teams. We figured that with a tough schedule and a young team on defense, tight end and no established run game that the Patriots would struggle. HA! Waaaaaay wrong! That was just one case of missing the mark by a lot, but there were others that we missed on for other reasons.

East	Final	Bill	Ron	Book		East	Final	Bill	Ron	Book
New England	14	8	7	9.5		Philly	10	5	7	8.5
NY Jets	11	12	10	9.5		NY Giants	10	10	7	9
Miami	7	9	9	8.5		Wash	6	6	9	7.5
Buffalo	4	4	5	5		Dallas	6	10	12	10
North						North
Pittsburgh	12	9	8	8.5		Chicago	11	8	6	7.5
Baltimore	12	12	11	10		GB	10	11	11	10
Cleveland	5	2	5	5.5		Detroit	6	4	6	5.5
Cincy	4	10	10	8.5		Minnesota	6	10	12	9.5
South						South
Indy	10	11	11	11		Atlanta	13	11	10	9.5
Jax	8	8	4	7		NO	11	9	12	10.5
Houston	6	11	8	8.5		TB	10	5	3	5.5
Tenn	6	8	10	8		Carolina	2	7	6	7
West						West
Kansas City	10	7	7	6.5		Seattle	7	6	5	7
San Diego	9	10	10	10.5		St. Louis	7	3	4	4.5
Oakland	8	7	8	6.5		San Fran	6	11	11	9
Denver	4	6	6	7		Arizona	5	6	6	7.5

A few notes from to note in comparing the results from 2010 to 2009:

• The AFC East finishing order was identical to last year
• Cincinnati went from first-to-last in the AFC North
• After having an outside shot at all being over .500, only one AFC South team finished over .500.
• Kansas City went from last-to-first in the AFC West
• Dallas went from first-to-last in the NFC East
• Minnesota went from first-to-last in the NFC North
• The NFC South had the widest discrepancy in talent from the top players to the bottom
• It goes without saying that the NFC West should be contracted

My prediction of Baltimore beating Green Bay in the Super Bowl is still in play. Of course, each has a tougher route to Dallas than I initially expected they would, but they are both playing well right now.