Thursday, December 19, 2013

Ready To Crown A King

Just when the pieces were falling into place for the playoffs, all Hell broke loose again. Denver, New England, New Orleans, Dallas, Philadelphia and Detroit all lost when they could have taken a big step forward. The few teams that delivered convincingly were the leaders in the NFC West; Seattle and San Francisco. Just a few years ago, that division couldn’t get above .500 and now they have the most dominate two teams in the league.

From a NFL fan and fantasy football participant perspective, week 16 was primarily very frustrating unless you owned/didn’t face the right few players or followed the right NFL teams. A few items to note:

  • Why was everyone talking about Jamaal Charles? He only had 20 yards rushing and 1 rushing TD. Hardly huge rushing numbers against a really bad Oakland defense.
  • Another fine outing for Elite QB, Eli Manning. Barely 150 yards and 5 picks. This is one area that you can’t bootstrap yourself into on your brother’s heels.
  • I LOVE to see the Cowboys struggle. Too bad Jerry Jones doesn’t get more air-time during that time. All the money in the world can’t buy you Smarts, Jerry.
  • The windiest moment in Chicago came from Marc Trestman when he exhaled following the Bears victory.
  • Maybe Mike Shanahan is expecting an offer from the Rams since he is doing his best Jason Garrett to get the Redskins a bunch of losses and increase the value of the draft pick owed to St. Louis.
  • I am shocked at how bad the Saints play away from home, even indoors. Hard to explain, but a loss this weekend to Carolina definitely dooms their Super Bowl chances.
  • Had Colin Kaepernick figured out how to click with Vernon Davis last year, they probably would have won the Super Bowl. They are on a mission to rectify that this year.
  • With A.P. and Toby Gerhart out last week, the Vikes ran Matt Asiata at the Eagles and he delivered 2 1/2 times more rushing yards yards than Jamaal Charles and posted three rushing TDs. Go figure.

The majority of head-to-head fantasy leagues are in their championship game this weekend. It would be surprising if a championship team is in need of a player right now, but, if so, or you are playing through Week 17, here are a few players to look at.

QB: Kirk Cousins (WASH) – Cousins found much more success in his receiving corps last weekend than RGIII had this season. Cousin gets another week of shaking the rust off and then has a very motivated Redskins unit behind him as they try to extinguish Dallas’ playoff hopes facing the worst defense that has ever been fielded by a playoff contender.

RB: DeAngelo Williams (CAR) – If a league member cast Williams aside when he injured his quad, this is a good time to pick him up. Though Mike Tolbert is a goal-line ballhog, Williams won’t be sharing carries with Jonathan Stewart. Expect the Panthers to pound the ball on the ground against a bad Saints defense versus the run in an effort to control the clock and repeat the Rams’ performance from last week.

RB: Jordan Todman (JAX) – With MoJo a scratch last weekend, Todman stepped up and has a nice day for the Jags with 153 total yards (109 rushing, 44 receiving). There is a very good chance that MoJo won’t play again this weekend or even this season. Todman has a nice home matchup against the second-worst defense versus the run in the Titans.

WR: Rod Streater (OAK) – Rod Streater has developed a nice relationship with Matt McGloin in his 5 games (25/423/2). I don’t think Denarius Moore’s return hurts at all, if fact, I believe it helps Streater.  He plays in San Diego in what should be a shootout this Sunday.

WR: Greg Jennings (MINN) – Speaking of building relationships, Jennings is far more productive with dropback passer, Matt Cassel, under center than he was with Christian Ponder madly scrambling about. He does play outdoors in a cool climate this weekend, but the Bengals are dinged up and have yielded 5 TDs to WRs in last 2 weeks.

TE: Delanie Walker (TENN) – Walker returned from a concussion he suffered 3 weeks ago and picked up right where he left off with Ryan Fitzpatrick (8/53/1). He visits the Jags and has a warm matchup against the 3rd worst D vs TEs.

Don’t Blink For A Second

What a week last week was from a spectator’s standpoint! It was the highest scoring week in NFL history and contained some of the craziest finishes ever witnessed.

  • New England proved to really own home field advantage when they received two critical penalties that helped them erase a 26-14 in the last 2 and a half minutes, though they left enough time for Cleveland to try a very long game-winning field goal that came up short.
  • After 20 points total for a 14-6 Detroit lead in 8 inches of heavy snow, Philly exploded for 4 fourth qtr TDs, including 3 of 38 yards or longer, to cruise by Detroit and keep their division hopes alive.
  • Baltimore and Minnesota outdid Detroit and Philly for 4th qtr scoring as they managed 13 total points through three quarters and then put up 42 combined in a wild 4th quarter that saw 5 lead changes in the last 127 seconds.
  • Green Bay was on the verge of getting the final nail in their 2013 coffin after giving up 21 points to Atlanta in the 2nd qtr and the surprisingly shut them out in the second half to eek out a 1-point win and give them false hope of making the playoffs.
  • The Steelers came oh-so-close to one of the greatest multi-lateral finishes in NFL history when the only flaw in the 5-lateral, 79-yard sequence was Antonio Brown stepping out of bounds as he passed the last defender into the end zone with no time on the clock.

The unfortunate part of last weekend was the number of injuries. Gronk is done for the year and we will be inundated with his recovery status again going into the 2014 season. AP went out with a foot injury and one has to wonder if he is done for the year since the Vikings are. Reggie Bush slipped in pre-game warm-ups and re-aggravated his calf injury. Lamar Miller was also hurt for Miami and will be trying to pass the NFL concussion tests in hopes of playing this weekend. Mojo hurt his hammy. RGIII proved again that he cannot win games by himself and will now be shut down for the rest of the season.

I certainly hope that you tethered Toby Gerhart and Joique Bell to AP and Bush. If not and you survived last weekend, here are a few choices to chose from who have now become a factor on the waiver wire.

QB: Jason Campbell (CLE) – so, I have repeatedly bashed Campbell after watching him play worse than Celeb Haney last season for the Bears (rightfully so). However, he has been dynamite for the Browns this year when healthy and on the field. Sure, Josh Gordon helps, but Campbell still has to accurately get the ball to him. He faces a suspect Bears defense coming off a game Monday night and could prove useful.

RB: Daniel Thomas (MIA) – assuming Gerhart and Bell are not available in your league, there is a good chance that Thomas is. Miami’s running game this year has been a bit stagnant and Thomas was dinged up for awhile and ineffective. If available, grab him if you are looking for help as he is playing in nice weather, will most likely get the start and goes against a bad Patriots’ rush defense.

WR: Cordarrelle Patterson (MINN) – Patterson has flashed his speed all season as a kick returner, but has gotten more and more offensive plays as the season has worn on. He is getting carries and Looks each week; moreso of the latter with Matt Cassel at QB. They play at home this week in what should be a shootout so the weather is not a concern.

TE: Dennis Pitta (BAL) – Pitta missed 3/4ths of the season with a hip injury but returned last week and instantly regained the rapport he had in 2012 with QB Joe Flacco. He is Flacco’s main Red Zone target as well as a trusted outlet. Tight Ends are an inconsistent bunch (see Ladarius Green) so Pitta is a nice replacement if you own the likes of Jordan Reed or Rob Housler.

We're Talkin' Bout Playoffs

There were some monster performances this past weekend who helped those needing a win to make the playoffs get in. Of course, for those facing those players, y’all may have suffered your worst defeat of the season, especially if you were counting on a normal outing from Drew Brees. Running backs delivered on Thanksgiving as Reggie Bush and Joique Bell, DeMarco Murray, and Le’Veon Bell all put up big numbers. Those were then dwarfed by a trio of wide receivers on Sunday with Alshon Jeffrey, Josh Gordon and Eric Decker all going off for big 36+ point totals. Of course, kudos to anyone who started Ben Tate on Sunday. Knowshon Moreno showed that you could easily run on the Pats, but no way did the writing on the wall spell out that a banged up Tate would come close to what he did.

I am not sure if Marc Tressman decided to kick the FG since he cannot disguise a running play in an obvious running situation…or has a play-action pass to a TE in his playbook…but a 47-yard field goal on second down was foolhardy. His week 10 reluctance to pull Jay Cutler out when he was in more pain than Vernon Davis on this play played a much bigger role in the loss to Detroit than his gamble on Gould did on Sunday, but he has to shoulder much more of the blame for them falling out of playoff contention than he has been willing to do thus far.

So much for the nostalgic feeling in Green Bay from Matt Flynn’s initial turn at the helm. He was brutal on Thursday and showed why he didn’t catch on anywhere. If Aaron Rodgers isn’t cleared for Sunday, Green Bay may just shut him down for the rest of the year. Not a good end to the year if you are a Packers fan or Rodgers owner. While the Packers and Bears are slowly drifting off the next season, the Jets have definitely crashed and burned. After heading into their Bye with wins over the Patriots and Saints (sandwiched around a azz-whupping at the hands of the Bengals), the vibe was definitely positive. That is long gone after getting destroyed in the three games since coming back…and looking much worse as each game has passed. The Jets had 38 yards of offense in the first half against Miami and didn’t sniff two hundo for the game. I am not sure how they can do much worse, but it actually does seem possible.

For those still looking for replacements for this week, and possibly beyond, there are a few new players on the waiver wire to consider.

QB: Ryan Fitzpatrick (TENN) – thanks to 11 points on the ground, Fitzpatrick had a serviceable day last Sunday. Since they will be undoubtedly trailing in Denver this weekend, Fitzpatrick could put up similar numbers to Alex Smith last weekend (22) and help you out immensely if you are in dire straits.

RB: Willis McGahee (CLE) – desperation, thy name is McGahee. After failing to do much of anything all season, he surprised with 13 points out of nowhere last weekend. Normally, this would be written off as an anomaly, but McGahee faces the Patriots, fresh off of getting run over for big points by the aforementioned Moreno and Tate.
WR: Andre Holmes (OAK) – loads of people were Googling Holmes during the Dallas game as he lit them up for 7 catches for 136 yards. Since the Raiders have seemed to have found their next starting QB, maybe Holmes will be more than a one-week wonder with Denarius Moore out.

TE: Ladarius Green (SD) – it is time to move past Antonio Gates on the Chargers. San Diego loves to throw the ball and have been banged up at WR and Gates so they have worked Green into the gameplan a bit more as the season has gone on and is now a primary weapon. He has totaled 9/206/2 over the past 3 games and has good matchups during your playoff run.